Indiana Weather Outlook 9-13-17

gfs_tprecip_indy_8Scattered showers will meander through the state through the day today. We are looking at rain totals of a few hundredths to a few tenths for the most part, although we may see some slightly higher rain totals in southeastern parts of the state and near the river. Coverage remains at around 60% of the state. This updated map shows cumulative rain totals through tomorrow morning. We think the northern third of the state will see the precipitation shown on this map evaporate significantly, meaning coverage will not be as good as the map (again, we are at 60% coverage today).

While clouds hold through at least the middle of the day tomorrow, precipitation will be done overnight tonight. We see drier weather returning to the state with sunshine eventually dominating for Friday through the weekend. Models have been very haphazard with a system we have in for Monday. At this time, the system is back (models took it out yesterday, but we did not change our forecast) on the models and we will continue to look for rains Monday and Monday evening. We are paring back our rain totals slightly, looking for .25”-.75” over about 70% of the state. We do not see as big of a thunderstorm threat at this time.

Behind that front, we are dry through the balance of next week, and we do not see our next front until we get well into the 11-16 day extended period. That front still is on track for the 26th, although some models are trying to speed it up a day or so. Stay tuned. That front has potential for .25”- to at most 1 inch of rain, coverage at 80%. Still, if that front holds, and we see the rains this coming Monday, that means we have only 2 threats of rain for the remainder of the month of September…which would be well below normal.

Temperatures will be near normal today and through the end of the week. Next week we see similar temps unfolding over the region. We look for a slight cool down behind the early week front next week, before we build back up late in the week with south flow.

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