Indiana Weather Outlook 9-15-17

gfs_tprecip_indy_19Dry today, tomorrow and most of Sunday. Our next front arrives Sunday night and moves over the state through Monday. Rain totals look to be from a few hundredths to half an inch with coverage at 60% of the state. The best chance to get into the upper part of the rain range now is moisture lingering longer through the day Monday. But, that does not happen over large parts of the state. Everything is gone by overnight Monday night. The map above shows cumulative rain potential through early Tuesday morning.

Dry weather returns behind the front, and we do see temps climbing significantly now for the second half of next week. We look for above normal temps through that period with highs in the 80s and lows in the 60s. The question then becomes “is this enough to pull the entire month to normal or even above normal levels?” While it may get us close, we likely do still fall short.

Our next system does not have a chance at moving into the region until closer to the 25th.  Rain totals look to be from .25”- 1” of rain with coverage at 80%. This is a front that slows as it arrives and then sags more to the south and east. The potential for rain is there, but we have concern that the front may end up raining itself out before bringing actual good rains to most of Indiana.

Through the rest of the extended period we do not have much action to talk about. There can be another front around the 29th, but it does not look very strong. Overall, this is a drying forecast, with only 2 good rain chances between now and the end of the month, and even those look to have coverage that could be better, if we are being honest.

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