International Weather Snapshot 1-9-17

South America weather:

  • The week is starting relatively dry in Brazil, except for a cluster of showers in Sao Paulo into Parana tonight-tomorrow totaling .25-1.25” of moisture.
  • Another front develops tomorrow, coming from Rio Grande do Sul up through the southeast into Matto Grosso do Sul, into Goias, and has a good plume of moisture that leaves behind .5-1.5” with coverage at 80% in those areas.
  • Matto Grosso doesn’t see much more than popup showers through Thursday morning.
  • A front develops on Thursday that sweeps from south to north over the entire region Thursday-Saturday, bringing .5-1.5” combined over 75-80% of key soybean areas.
  • This rain activity will hit some of the drier areas in northeast Brazil, it’s just a question of how much.
  • .5-1” of moisture develops in Bahia early next week before popup showers continue elsewhere on Monday-Tuesday.
  • A front looks to move through MGDS on Tuesday, heading straight north and could bring good rains to MG as well.
  • All of Brazil’s key growing areas over the next ten days could pick up 2-3.5” of rain, which is close to normal this time of year, and it should cover 80-85%.
  • Temps will be normal to slightly above, with the warmest air over the drier parts in the northeast, but those look to have pulled back a bit as well.
  • A few scattered showers trying to hold on in BA this morning in Argentina, but another front works across all growing areas late today-tomorrow, bringing .5-2” rains with coverage at 90% of growing areas.
  • It should be dry from tomorrow afternoon-Thursday, with just a bit of moisture lingering in the north.
  • The next good front will wait until the weekend, bringing moisture to only the northern half of growing areas totaling .5-1.5” totals from Friday night-early Sunday.
  • High pressure follows that in to cover all of Argentina from Monday-Wednesday, which may mean 4-5 days of dryness in some of the more wet areas of the country by the end of next week and into the weekend.
  • Temps should be normal to slightly below, even though a couple periods will see temps close to normal; the below normal temps in the day and above normal temps at night pattern looks to continue.
  • The southern part of Argentina may pick up some heat early next week.

 

Ukraine/Black Sea

  • Scattered light snow develops over eastern Ukraine today-tomorrow, totaling a couple inches.
  • A strong high pressure dome dominates for the rest of the week, Wednesday-Friday.
  • Temps begin to moderate by the end of the week as the high moves away and strong south wind flow moves in, pushing temps above normal in central and southern Russia and Ukraine.
  • A mix of rain and snow hit Ukraine and central Russia from Saturday night-Monday morning.
  • Above normal temps continue next week so there is some concern about snow melt.

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