Another nice day today as we remain under the influence of high pressure. We should see good sunshine through the day with temps staying cool. Clouds may try and builds into the state overnight tonight as an upper level wave sweeps through the great lakes through tomorrow. We think there is less of a chance of that moisture coming south in our forecast today than what we were concerned about yesterday. At this point, we think we are mostly looking at clouds tonight into tomorrow. Following that wave, we see sunshine and fairly pleasant conditions for the week and upcoming weekend. Temps will be mostly normal to slightly above normal – a little cool to start, but generally much better than we should be looking at for mid February. In fact by the end of the week we should be well above normal.
Our outlook for next week is unchanged at this time, but we may have to make some changes in the days ahead. We still look for scattered showers Tuesday into Wednesday that can bring totals of .25”-.75” over about 90% of the state. However, the latest European model run shows the moisture moving into western parts of the state Tuesday morning, and then just stopping, falling apart and moving away. If that turns out to be the case, we would see coverage at only 30% and most of the state would be dry all the way through next week. Again…it’s not a change we are making at this time, but if we see other models build consensus, we will have to change.
The rest of the week should be dry with above normal temps. In the extended period, we have another strong front for the 26th-27th that brings half to 1 inch rain potential. The track is still up in the air, and that may allow for some snow to mix in, but given the warm air pattern that seems to be emerging…we are continuing to trend our forecast to all liquid.