So, today is the wet blanket on our week. Tomorrow, Thursday and Friday all look great. Sunny, dry, pleasant with low relative humidity and gradually warming temps. Then, there is today. We should be sunny, dry and pleasant, but instead, we are having to deal with clouds wrapping around a strong low off to the northeast and those clouds have the potential to drop a bit of precipitation on us too. We don’t like it. We think the pattern still is mostly dry, but we just can’t stand back and not acknowledge the pesky moisture that can be around. So, while we get through the day mostly dry, we can see a few hundredths to a tenth over about 40% of the state, and the bias here is the northern part of the state too. Timing can be any time this morning in the north, early to mid-afternoon central. Soutehrn Indiana should miss out on any moisture chance. We need to stress that there is not a lot of water to work with here. But, if there is something you truly don’t want wet today, cover it up (I did). The map shows precipitation totals through midnight tonight. These may actually be a little zealous on the top end, as we really like a tenth or less in most areas. But the coverage is very close to our thoughts.
Now, after we get done with the dry second half of the week, we do have a bit of moisture coming in for the weekend. Action does not look quite as strong this morning, but we still need to keep rain and thunderstorms in the forecast for Saturday and Sunday. At this time, we will condense our rain totals into a single range, rather than north vs. south, and look for .25”-1.25” over about 90% of the state. Thunderstorms will be needed to get into the upper end of the range, and we see some good thunderstorm chances. However, they are spread out over a larger part of the state than our previous look.
Dry behind this system to start next week, Monday and Tuesday, and this morning we are taking rain out at midweek, allowing for a completely dry period Monday through Friday of next week. Temps look to be normal to above normal for the period as well. A nice front arrives for next Saturday, bringing potential for .25”-.75” over the entire state.
The rest of the extended period shows another front dragging across the state for the 18th, and then another system threatening the region around the 21st into the 22nd.